CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · win 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Entropy#159 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
52%46%
Rune Eaters · 19 mapsedge Rune Eaters +6%Entropy · 20 maps
AncientRune Eaters ban
47%50%
Rune Eaters · 15 mapsnearly even -3%Entropy · 12 maps
Dust2Rune Eaters pick
55%31%
Rune Eaters · 18 mapsedge Rune Eaters +24%Entropy · 9 maps
InfernoEntropy ban
43%44%
Rune Eaters · 10 mapsnearly even -1%Entropy · 5 maps
AnubisRune Eaters ban
50%50%
Rune Eaters · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Entropy · 10 maps
CacheEntropy pick
50%58%
Rune Eaters · 0 mapsedge Entropy +8%Entropy · 8 maps
NukeEntropy ban
33%40%
Rune Eaters · 5 mapsedge Entropy +7%Entropy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRune Eaters remove Anubis
2. BanEntropy remove Nuke
3. PickRune Eaters take Dust2
4. PickEntropy take Cache
5. BanEntropy remove Inferno
6. BanRune Eaters remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (52% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:3
Rune Eaters 53%Entropy 47%
The model gave 53% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Rune Eaters 50%Entropy 50%
The model gave 50% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 58%
Series resultRune Eaters 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2