Exort Fiesta Series 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Permitta#115 in the worldseries probability
48%52%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Vexar#138 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientVexar pick
30%42%
Permitta · 6 mapsedge Vexar +12%Vexar · 15 maps
MirageVexar ban
50%50%
Permitta · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Vexar · 8 maps
NukePermitta pick
50%36%
Permitta · 4 mapsedge Permitta +14%Vexar · 7 maps
Defaultpossible decider
40%50%
Permitta · 1 mapedge Vexar +10%Vexar · 8 maps
AnubisVexar ban
63%38%
Permitta · 4 mapsedge Permitta +25%Vexar · 4 maps
Dust2Permitta ban
33%63%
Permitta · 2 mapsedge Vexar +30%Vexar · 4 maps
InfernoPermitta ban
50%60%
Permitta · 0 mapsedge Vexar +10%Vexar · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPermitta remove Inferno
2. BanVexar remove Anubis
3. PickPermitta take Nuke
4. PickVexar take Ancient
5. BanVexar remove Mirage
6. BanPermitta remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (40% / 50%)