BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
HOTU#41 in the world · win 2:0series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GamerLegion#19 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
62%54%
HOTU · 9 mapsedge HOTU +8%GamerLegion · 9 maps
NukeHOTU pick
73%50%
HOTU · 7 mapsedge HOTU +23%GamerLegion · 8 maps
Dust2GamerLegion ban
61%50%
HOTU · 14 mapsedge HOTU +11%GamerLegion · 0 maps
MirageGamerLegion ban
57%43%
HOTU · 3 mapsedge HOTU +14%GamerLegion · 10 maps
InfernoHOTU ban
50%57%
HOTU · 0 mapsedge GamerLegion +7%GamerLegion · 10 maps
OverpassHOTU ban
29%50%
HOTU · 3 mapsedge GamerLegion +21%GamerLegion · 4 maps
CacheGamerLegion pick
67%50%
HOTU · 5 mapsedge HOTU +17%GamerLegion · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHOTU remove Inferno
2. BanGamerLegion remove Dust2
3. PickHOTU take Nuke
4. PickGamerLegion take Cache
5. BanGamerLegion remove Mirage
6. BanHOTU remove Overpass
DeciderAncient (62% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
HOTU 64%GamerLegion 36%
The model gave 64% on HOTU — the map was taken by HOTU.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
HOTU 55%GamerLegion 45%
The model gave 55% on HOTU — the map was taken by HOTU.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 70%
Series resultHOTU 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2