StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
INFINITE#71 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Nemesis#43 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageINFINITE ban
56%69%
INFINITE · 12 mapsedge Nemesis +13%Nemesis · 9 maps
AncientINFINITE pick
55%47%
INFINITE · 7 mapsedge INFINITE +8%Nemesis · 13 maps
NukeNemesis pick
46%80%
INFINITE · 9 mapsedge Nemesis +34%Nemesis · 11 maps
Dust2Nemesis ban
60%50%
INFINITE · 6 mapsedge INFINITE +10%Nemesis · 8 maps
InfernoNemesis ban
57%57%
INFINITE · 3 mapsnearly even +0%Nemesis · 10 maps
OverpassINFINITE ban
40%43%
INFINITE · 1 mapnearly even -3%Nemesis · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%67%
INFINITE · 1 mapedge Nemesis +7%Nemesis · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINFINITE remove Overpass
2. BanNemesis remove Dust2
3. PickINFINITE take Ancient
4. PickNemesis take Nuke
5. BanNemesis remove Inferno
6. BanINFINITE remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (60% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct6:13
INFINITE 34%Nemesis 66%
The model gave 66% on Nemesis — the map was taken by Nemesis.
Ancientprediction correct13:10
INFINITE 60%Nemesis 40%
The model gave 60% on INFINITE — the map was taken by INFINITE.
Infernoprediction missed8:13
INFINITE 50%Nemesis 50%
The model gave 50% on INFINITE — the map was taken by Nemesis.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemesis · 72%
Series resultNemesis 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3