CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Honvéd#144 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMai Tai pick
44%50%
Mai Tai · 5 mapsedge Honvéd +6%Honvéd · 16 maps
Dust2Honvéd pick
60%70%
Mai Tai · 1 mapedge Honvéd +10%Honvéd · 16 maps
Ancientpossible decider
43%58%
Mai Tai · 3 mapsedge Honvéd +15%Honvéd · 8 maps
DefaultMai Tai ban
40%57%
Mai Tai · 6 mapsedge Honvéd +17%Honvéd · 3 maps
NukeHonvéd ban
60%57%
Mai Tai · 1 mapnearly even +3%Honvéd · 3 maps
AnubisHonvéd ban
50%71%
Mai Tai · 0 mapsedge Honvéd +21%Honvéd · 3 maps
InfernoMai Tai ban
50%29%
Mai Tai · 0 mapsedge Mai Tai +21%Honvéd · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMai Tai remove Inferno
2. BanHonvéd remove Nuke
3. PickMai Tai take Mirage
4. PickHonvéd take Dust2
5. BanHonvéd remove Anubis
6. BanMai Tai remove Default
DeciderAncient (43% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct11:13
Mai Tai 36%Honvéd 64%
The model gave 64% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Mirageprediction correct8:13
Mai Tai 47%Honvéd 53%
The model gave 53% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Model check result
Model favoriteHonvéd · 54%
Series resultHonvéd 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2