BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#22 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
9%91%
probability at match start · final 1:2
G2#7 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Nemiga ban
42%38%
Nemiga · 8 mapsnearly even +4%G2 · 12 maps
Miragepossible decider
57%57%
Nemiga · 10 mapsnearly even +0%G2 · 10 maps
AncientNemiga pick
69%50%
Nemiga · 9 mapsedge Nemiga +19%G2 · 8 maps
OverpassG2 pick
71%73%
Nemiga · 10 mapsnearly even -2%G2 · 7 maps
AnubisG2 ban
60%33%
Nemiga · 6 mapsedge Nemiga +27%G2 · 2 maps
InfernoNemiga ban
50%60%
Nemiga · 0 mapsedge G2 +10%G2 · 6 maps
NukeG2 ban
60%50%
Nemiga · 6 mapsedge Nemiga +10%G2 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Inferno
2. BanG2 remove Nuke
3. PickNemiga take Ancient
4. PickG2 take Overpass
5. BanG2 remove Anubis
6. BanNemiga remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (57% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:9
Nemiga 77%G2 23%
The model gave 77% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Mirageprediction correct8:13
Nemiga 47%G2 53%
The model gave 53% on G2 — the map was taken by G2.
Ancientprediction missed8:13
Nemiga 69%G2 31%
The model gave 69% on Nemiga — the map was taken by G2.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 · 91%
Series resultG2 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3