?
arrow_backBack to match
CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
BORRACHEIROS#179 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BESTIA Academy#172 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoBESTIA Academy pick
40%60%
BORRACHEIROS · 1 mapedge BESTIA Academy +20%BESTIA Academy · 11 maps
Ancientpossible decider
60%38%
BORRACHEIROS · 1 mapedge BORRACHEIROS +22%BESTIA Academy · 9 maps
Dust2BORRACHEIROS ban
50%42%
BORRACHEIROS · 0 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +8%BESTIA Academy · 8 maps
DefaultBORRACHEIROS pick
67%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 2 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +17%BESTIA Academy · 4 maps
NukeBORRACHEIROS ban
40%63%
BORRACHEIROS · 1 mapedge BESTIA Academy +23%BESTIA Academy · 4 maps
MirageBESTIA Academy ban
50%63%
BORRACHEIROS · 0 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +13%BESTIA Academy · 4 maps
OverpassBESTIA Academy ban
50%40%
BORRACHEIROS · 0 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +10%BESTIA Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Dust2
2. BanBESTIA Academy remove Overpass
3. PickBORRACHEIROS take Default
4. PickBESTIA Academy take Inferno
5. BanBESTIA Academy remove Mirage
6. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (60% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
BORRACHEIROS 55%BESTIA Academy 45%
The model gave 55% on BORRACHEIROS — the map was taken by BORRACHEIROS.
Mirageprediction missed13:11
BORRACHEIROS 40%BESTIA Academy 60%
The model gave 60% on BESTIA Academy — the map was taken by BORRACHEIROS.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA Academy · 59%
Series resultBORRACHEIROS 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2