CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Procyon#119 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ALKA#129 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Procyon pick
43%70%
Procyon · 10 mapsedge ALKA +27%ALKA · 6 maps
MirageALKA ban
50%44%
Procyon · 8 mapsedge Procyon +6%ALKA · 5 maps
NukeALKA pick
22%55%
Procyon · 5 mapsedge ALKA +33%ALKA · 7 maps
InfernoProcyon ban
57%56%
Procyon · 3 mapsnearly even +1%ALKA · 5 maps
AncientProcyon ban
50%67%
Procyon · 2 mapsedge ALKA +17%ALKA · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%40%
Procyon · 2 mapsedge Procyon +10%ALKA · 1 map
AnubisALKA ban
40%40%
Procyon · 1 mapnearly even +0%ALKA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanProcyon remove Ancient
2. BanALKA remove Anubis
3. PickProcyon take Dust2
4. PickALKA take Nuke
5. BanALKA remove Mirage
6. BanProcyon remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
Procyon 36%ALKA 64%
The model gave 64% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Dust2prediction correct11:13
Procyon 22%ALKA 78%
The model gave 78% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Model check result
Model favoriteALKA · 54%
Series resultALKA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2