BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Alliance#22 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Wildcard#46 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoAlliance pick
83%44%
Alliance · 14 mapsedge Alliance +39%Wildcard · 5 maps
Dust2Wildcard pick
55%57%
Alliance · 7 mapsnearly even -2%Wildcard · 10 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%67%
Alliance · 12 mapsedge Wildcard +17%Wildcard · 5 maps
AncientWildcard ban
60%50%
Alliance · 11 mapsedge Alliance +10%Wildcard · 0 maps
AnubisWildcard ban
36%50%
Alliance · 7 mapsedge Wildcard +14%Wildcard · 0 maps
OverpassAlliance ban
29%57%
Alliance · 3 mapsedge Wildcard +28%Wildcard · 3 maps
DefaultAlliance ban
50%75%
Alliance · 0 mapsedge Wildcard +25%Wildcard · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAlliance remove Default
2. BanWildcard remove Ancient
3. PickAlliance take Inferno
4. PickWildcard take Dust2
5. BanWildcard remove Anubis
6. BanAlliance remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (50% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed3:13
Alliance 88%Wildcard 12%
The model gave 88% on Alliance — the map was taken by Wildcard.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
Alliance 44%Wildcard 56%
The model gave 56% on Wildcard — the map was taken by Wildcard.
Model check result
Model favoriteAlliance · 74%
Series resultWildcard 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2