BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nuclear TigeRES#54 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MOUZ#3 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeMOUZ pick
57%64%
Nuclear TigeRES · 10 mapsedge MOUZ +7%MOUZ · 10 maps
Dust2MOUZ ban
53%60%
Nuclear TigeRES · 13 mapsedge MOUZ +7%MOUZ · 6 maps
AncientNuclear TigeRES pick
53%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 11 mapsnearly even +3%MOUZ · 6 maps
AnubisMOUZ ban
78%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 14 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +28%MOUZ · 0 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
60%58%
Nuclear TigeRES · 6 mapsnearly even +2%MOUZ · 8 maps
Infernopossible decider
67%55%
Nuclear TigeRES · 2 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +12%MOUZ · 7 maps
OverpassNuclear TigeRES ban
50%67%
Nuclear TigeRES · 0 mapsedge MOUZ +17%MOUZ · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Overpass
2. BanMOUZ remove Anubis
3. PickNuclear TigeRES take Ancient
4. PickMOUZ take Nuke
5. BanMOUZ remove Dust2
6. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (67% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed6:13
Nuclear TigeRES 56%MOUZ 44%
The model gave 56% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Nukeprediction correct11:13
Nuclear TigeRES 40%MOUZ 60%
The model gave 60% on MOUZ — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 77%
Series resultMOUZ 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2