CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Atreides#147 in the world · win 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
los kogutos#123 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageAtreides pick
74%50%
Atreides · 19 mapsedge Atreides +24%los kogutos · 2 maps
AncientAtreides ban
53%60%
Atreides · 11 mapsedge los kogutos +7%los kogutos · 1 map
Dust2Atreides ban
33%33%
Atreides · 8 mapsnearly even +0%los kogutos · 2 maps
Infernolos kogutos ban
57%50%
Atreides · 10 mapsedge Atreides +7%los kogutos · 0 maps
Overpasslos kogutos ban
43%50%
Atreides · 10 mapsedge los kogutos +7%los kogutos · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
55%40%
Atreides · 7 mapsedge Atreides +15%los kogutos · 1 map
Nukelos kogutos pick
56%50%
Atreides · 5 mapsedge Atreides +6%los kogutos · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAtreides remove Dust2
2. Banlos kogutos remove Inferno
3. PickAtreides take Mirage
4. Picklos kogutos take Nuke
5. Banlos kogutos remove Overpass
6. BanAtreides remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (55% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:7
Atreides 47%los kogutos 53%
The model gave 53% on los kogutos — the map was taken by Atreides.
Cacheprediction correct13:10
Atreides 53%los kogutos 47%
The model gave 53% on Atreides — the map was taken by Atreides.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtreides · 57%
Series resultAtreides 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2