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NODWIN Clutch Series 11 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Butterfly#69 in the world
series probability
58%42%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Black Phoenix#94 in the world
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
67%68%
Butterfly · 8 mapsnearly even -1%Black Phoenix · 15 maps
MirageBlack Phoenix ban
67%50%
Butterfly · 8 mapsedge Butterfly +17%Black Phoenix · 10 maps
NukeButterfly pick
62%45%
Butterfly · 9 mapsedge Butterfly +17%Black Phoenix · 7 maps
InfernoButterfly ban
20%60%
Butterfly · 6 mapsedge Black Phoenix +40%Black Phoenix · 6 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
75%50%
Butterfly · 8 mapsedge Butterfly +25%Black Phoenix · 0 maps
Cachepossible decider
67%60%
Butterfly · 2 mapsedge Butterfly +7%Black Phoenix · 6 maps
AnubisButterfly ban
40%22%
Butterfly · 1 mapedge Butterfly +18%Black Phoenix · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanButterfly remove Anubis
2. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
3. PickButterfly take Nuke
4. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
5. BanBlack Phoenix remove Mirage
6. BanButterfly remove Inferno
DeciderCache (67% / 60%)