Exort Fiesta Series 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Falcons Force#152 in the worldseries probability
50%50%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
ENCE#135 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageFalcons Force pick
64%38%
Falcons Force · 7 mapsedge Falcons Force +26%ENCE · 17 maps
NukeFalcons Force ban
25%59%
Falcons Force · 4 mapsedge ENCE +34%ENCE · 13 maps
AncientENCE ban
44%46%
Falcons Force · 5 mapsnearly even -2%ENCE · 9 maps
InfernoFalcons Force ban
50%64%
Falcons Force · 4 mapsedge ENCE +14%ENCE · 7 maps
AnubisENCE pick
40%64%
Falcons Force · 1 mapedge ENCE +24%ENCE · 7 maps
Cachepossible decider
75%63%
Falcons Force · 4 mapsedge Falcons Force +12%ENCE · 4 maps
Dust2ENCE ban
25%40%
Falcons Force · 4 mapsedge ENCE +15%ENCE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFalcons Force remove Nuke
2. BanENCE remove Dust2
3. PickFalcons Force take Mirage
4. PickENCE take Anubis
5. BanENCE remove Ancient
6. BanFalcons Force remove Inferno
DeciderCache (75% / 63%)