CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
MAGICOSwin 1:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Blitzkrieg ban
50%20%
MAGICOS · 4 mapsedge MAGICOS +30%Blitzkrieg · 6 maps
AncientMAGICOS pick
38%33%
MAGICOS · 4 mapsedge MAGICOS +5%Blitzkrieg · 2 maps
DefaultMAGICOS ban
57%57%
MAGICOS · 3 mapsnearly even +0%Blitzkrieg · 3 maps
InfernoBlitzkrieg pick
25%50%
MAGICOS · 4 mapsedge Blitzkrieg +25%Blitzkrieg · 0 maps
MirageBlitzkrieg ban
60%29%
MAGICOS · 1 mapedge MAGICOS +31%Blitzkrieg · 3 maps
NukeMAGICOS ban
50%33%
MAGICOS · 0 mapsedge MAGICOS +17%Blitzkrieg · 2 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%40%
MAGICOS · 0 mapsedge MAGICOS +10%Blitzkrieg · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMAGICOS remove Nuke
2. BanBlitzkrieg remove Dust2
3. PickMAGICOS take Ancient
4. PickBlitzkrieg take Inferno
5. BanBlitzkrieg remove Mirage
6. BanMAGICOS remove Default
DeciderAnubis (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
MAGICOS 50%Blitzkrieg 50%
The model gave 50% on MAGICOS — the map was taken by MAGICOS.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlitzkrieg · 52%
Series resultMAGICOS 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1