CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
paiN Academy#286 in the world · win 1:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:0
GUARA#234 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GUARA ban
39%25%
paiN Academy · 14 mapsedge paiN Academy +14%GUARA · 8 maps
MiragepaiN Academy pick
42%44%
paiN Academy · 15 mapsnearly even -2%GUARA · 5 maps
NukepaiN Academy ban
40%25%
paiN Academy · 6 mapsedge paiN Academy +15%GUARA · 8 maps
InfernoGUARA ban
60%22%
paiN Academy · 6 mapsedge paiN Academy +38%GUARA · 5 maps
Anubispossible decider
54%50%
paiN Academy · 9 mapsnearly even +4%GUARA · 0 maps
DefaultGUARA pick
63%71%
paiN Academy · 4 mapsedge GUARA +8%GUARA · 3 maps
AncientpaiN Academy ban
40%33%
paiN Academy · 1 mapedge paiN Academy +7%GUARA · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanpaiN Academy remove Ancient
2. BanGUARA remove Inferno
3. PickpaiN Academy take Mirage
4. PickGUARA take Default
5. BanGUARA remove Dust2
6. BanpaiN Academy remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (54% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
paiN Academy 40%GUARA 60%
The model gave 60% on GUARA — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Model check result
Model favoritepaiN Academy · 64%
Series resultpaiN Academy 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1