CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
benched gods#162 in the world · win 2:0series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultMai Tai ban
60%38%
benched gods · 1 mapedge benched gods +22%Mai Tai · 4 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%50%
benched gods · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Mai Tai · 2 maps
Dust2benched gods ban
50%50%
benched gods · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Mai Tai · 0 maps
MirageMai Tai pick
50%50%
benched gods · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Mai Tai · 4 maps
AnubisMai Tai ban
57%50%
benched gods · 3 mapsedge benched gods +7%Mai Tai · 0 maps
Cachebenched gods pick
60%40%
benched gods · 1 mapedge benched gods +20%Mai Tai · 1 map
Nukebenched gods ban
60%60%
benched gods · 1 mapnearly even +0%Mai Tai · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banbenched gods remove Nuke
2. BanMai Tai remove Anubis
3. Pickbenched gods take Cache
4. PickMai Tai take Mirage
5. BanMai Tai remove Default
6. Banbenched gods remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:6
benched gods 47%Mai Tai 53%
The model gave 53% on Mai Tai — the map was taken by benched gods.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
benched gods 71%Mai Tai 29%
The model gave 71% on benched gods — the map was taken by benched gods.
Model check result
Model favoriteMai Tai · 64%
Series resultbenched gods 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2