Esports Nations Cup 2026 West Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Finland#145 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Germanywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisFinland pick
50%40%
Finland · 0 mapsedge Finland +10%Germany · 1 map
CacheFinland ban
50%60%
Finland · 0 mapsedge Germany +10%Germany · 1 map
Dust2Germany ban
50%40%
Finland · 0 mapsedge Finland +10%Germany · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFinland remove Cache
2. BanGermany remove Dust2
3. PickFinland take Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:16
Finland 53%Germany 47%
The model gave 53% on Finland — the map was taken by Germany.
Cacheprediction correct8:13
Finland 37%Germany 63%
The model gave 63% on Germany — the map was taken by Germany.
Model check result
Model favoriteFinland · 62%
Series resultGermany 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2