CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#89 in the world · win 2:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:1
HAVU#107 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Leo pick
55%44%
Leo · 25 mapsedge Leo +11%HAVU · 5 maps
NukeHAVU pick
65%83%
Leo · 13 mapsedge HAVU +18%HAVU · 8 maps
AncientHAVU ban
47%43%
Leo · 15 mapsnearly even +4%HAVU · 3 maps
AnubisHAVU ban
32%40%
Leo · 15 mapsedge HAVU +8%HAVU · 1 map
MirageLeo ban
40%50%
Leo · 6 mapsedge HAVU +10%HAVU · 6 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%29%
Leo · 2 mapsedge Leo +21%HAVU · 3 maps
InfernoLeo ban
60%57%
Leo · 1 mapnearly even +3%HAVU · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Mirage
2. BanHAVU remove Anubis
3. PickLeo take Dust2
4. PickHAVU take Nuke
5. BanHAVU remove Ancient
6. BanLeo remove Inferno
DeciderCache (50% / 29%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed8:13
Leo 58%HAVU 42%
The model gave 58% on Leo — the map was taken by HAVU.
Nukeprediction missed16:14
Leo 25%HAVU 75%
The model gave 75% on HAVU — the map was taken by Leo.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
Leo 61%HAVU 39%
The model gave 61% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoriteLeo · 59%
Series resultLeo 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3