Esports Nations Cup 2026 West Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Denmark#41 in the world · win 2:0series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Belgiumloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBelgium ban
50%40%
Denmark · 0 mapsedge Denmark +10%Belgium · 1 map
Dust2Denmark ban
50%40%
Denmark · 0 mapsedge Denmark +10%Belgium · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDenmark remove Dust2
2. BanBelgium remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:9
Denmark 47%Belgium 53%
The model gave 53% on Belgium — the map was taken by Denmark.
Nukeprediction correct13:8
Denmark 53%Belgium 47%
The model gave 53% on Denmark — the map was taken by Denmark.
Model check result
Model favoriteDenmark · 84%
Series resultDenmark 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2