CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:0
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BORRACHEIROS ban
50%53%
BORRACHEIROS · 0 mapsnearly even -3%METANOIA Wolves · 11 maps
AncientMETANOIA Wolves pick
60%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 1 mapedge BORRACHEIROS +10%METANOIA Wolves · 8 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%56%
BORRACHEIROS · 1 mapnearly even +4%METANOIA Wolves · 5 maps
InfernoBORRACHEIROS pick
40%38%
BORRACHEIROS · 1 mapnearly even +2%METANOIA Wolves · 4 maps
NukeBORRACHEIROS ban
40%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 1 mapedge METANOIA Wolves +10%METANOIA Wolves · 4 maps
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
50%25%
BORRACHEIROS · 0 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +25%METANOIA Wolves · 4 maps
AnubisMETANOIA Wolves ban
50%29%
BORRACHEIROS · 0 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +21%METANOIA Wolves · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Dust2
2. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
3. PickBORRACHEIROS take Inferno
4. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Ancient
5. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Anubis
6. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (60% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
BORRACHEIROS 55%METANOIA Wolves 45%
The model gave 55% on BORRACHEIROS — the map was taken by BORRACHEIROS.
Model check result
Model favoriteMETANOIA Wolves · 55%
Series resultBORRACHEIROS 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1