CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Entropy#159 in the world · win 2:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Honvéd#144 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageHonvéd pick
38%56%
Entropy · 17 mapsedge Honvéd +18%Honvéd · 14 maps
Dust2Entropy ban
33%65%
Entropy · 8 mapsedge Honvéd +32%Honvéd · 13 maps
AncientEntropy ban
46%64%
Entropy · 9 mapsedge Honvéd +18%Honvéd · 7 maps
AnubisEntropy pick
50%67%
Entropy · 10 mapsedge Honvéd +17%Honvéd · 2 maps
InfernoHonvéd ban
44%29%
Entropy · 5 mapsedge Entropy +15%Honvéd · 3 maps
Overpasspossible decider
38%29%
Entropy · 4 mapsedge Entropy +9%Honvéd · 3 maps
CacheHonvéd ban
70%50%
Entropy · 6 mapsedge Entropy +20%Honvéd · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEntropy remove Dust2
2. BanHonvéd remove Cache
3. PickEntropy take Anubis
4. PickHonvéd take Mirage
5. BanHonvéd remove Inferno
6. BanEntropy remove Ancient
DeciderOverpass (38% / 29%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct9:13
Entropy 19%Honvéd 81%
The model gave 81% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Mirageprediction missed13:3
Entropy 36%Honvéd 64%
The model gave 64% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Entropy.
Ancientprediction missed13:5
Entropy 33%Honvéd 67%
The model gave 67% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Entropy.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntropy · 54%
Series resultEntropy 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3