Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
9INE#80 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HOTU#41 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2HOTU pick
43%64%
9INE · 3 mapsedge HOTU +21%HOTU · 18 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%63%
9INE · 6 mapsedge HOTU +13%HOTU · 12 maps
Nuke9INE pick
67%77%
9INE · 8 mapsedge HOTU +10%HOTU · 9 maps
Cache9INE ban
33%57%
9INE · 2 mapsedge HOTU +24%HOTU · 10 maps
AnubisHOTU ban
50%70%
9INE · 2 mapsedge HOTU +20%HOTU · 6 maps
Mirage9INE ban
50%50%
9INE · 2 mapsnearly even +0%HOTU · 6 maps
OverpassHOTU ban
50%29%
9INE · 0 mapsedge 9INE +21%HOTU · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban9INE remove Mirage
2. BanHOTU remove Overpass
3. Pick9INE take Nuke
4. PickHOTU take Dust2
5. BanHOTU remove Anubis
6. Ban9INE remove Cache
DeciderAncient (50% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:16
9INE 40%HOTU 60%
The model gave 60% on HOTU — the map was taken by HOTU.
Dust2prediction correct2:13
9INE 28%HOTU 72%
The model gave 72% on HOTU — the map was taken by HOTU.
Model check result
Model favoriteHOTU · 59%
Series resultHOTU 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2