Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
BC.Game#60 in the world · win 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
OG#203 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2OG pick
38%67%
BC.Game · 4 mapsedge OG +29%OG · 5 maps
MirageOG ban
60%43%
BC.Game · 6 mapsedge BC.Game +17%OG · 3 maps
NukeOG ban
57%44%
BC.Game · 3 mapsedge BC.Game +13%OG · 5 maps
Overpasspossible decider
40%60%
BC.Game · 1 mapedge OG +20%OG · 6 maps
CacheBC.Game pick
71%33%
BC.Game · 3 mapsedge BC.Game +38%OG · 2 maps
AncientBC.Game ban
50%57%
BC.Game · 0 mapsedge OG +7%OG · 3 maps
InfernoBC.Game ban
60%67%
BC.Game · 1 mapedge OG +7%OG · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBC.Game remove Ancient
2. BanOG remove Mirage
3. PickBC.Game take Cache
4. PickOG take Dust2
5. BanOG remove Nuke
6. BanBC.Game remove Inferno
DeciderOverpass (40% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:8
BC.Game 40%OG 60%
The model gave 60% on OG — the map was taken by BC.Game.
Cacheprediction correct13:9
BC.Game 85%OG 15%
The model gave 85% on BC.Game — the map was taken by BC.Game.
Model check result
Model favoriteBC.Game · 55%
Series resultBC.Game 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2