CCT 2026 Contenders Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMADMAN pick
29%50%
BOJONG · 3 mapsedge MADMAN +21%MADMAN · 0 maps
AncientMADMAN ban
50%50%
BOJONG · 2 mapsnearly even +0%MADMAN · 0 maps
AnubisBOJONG ban
40%50%
BOJONG · 1 mapedge MADMAN +10%MADMAN · 0 maps
CacheMADMAN ban
40%50%
BOJONG · 1 mapedge MADMAN +10%MADMAN · 0 maps
DefaultBOJONG ban
40%50%
BOJONG · 1 mapedge MADMAN +10%MADMAN · 0 maps
InfernoBOJONG pick
40%50%
BOJONG · 1 mapedge MADMAN +10%MADMAN · 0 maps
Nukepossible decider
40%50%
BOJONG · 1 mapedge MADMAN +10%MADMAN · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBOJONG remove Anubis
2. BanMADMAN remove Ancient
3. PickBOJONG take Inferno
4. PickMADMAN take Mirage
5. BanMADMAN remove Cache
6. BanBOJONG remove Default
DeciderNuke (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:8
BOJONG 47%MADMAN 53%
The model gave 53% on MADMAN — the map was taken by BOJONG.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
BOJONG 31%MADMAN 69%
The model gave 69% on MADMAN — the map was taken by BOJONG.
Model check result
Model favoriteMADMAN · 50%
Series resultBOJONG 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2