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NODWIN Clutch Series 12 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Bebop#261 in the world · loss 0:2
series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
WBT Academy#120 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bebop pick
58%67%
Bebop · 15 mapsedge WBT Academy +9%WBT Academy · 5 maps
MirageBebop ban
25%50%
Bebop · 12 mapsedge WBT Academy +25%WBT Academy · 4 maps
NukeWBT Academy ban
50%40%
Bebop · 10 mapsedge Bebop +10%WBT Academy · 6 maps
AnubisWBT Academy pick
33%50%
Bebop · 5 mapsedge WBT Academy +17%WBT Academy · 8 maps
Defaultpossible decider
44%60%
Bebop · 5 mapsedge WBT Academy +16%WBT Academy · 1 map
CacheWBT Academy ban
44%50%
Bebop · 5 mapsedge WBT Academy +6%WBT Academy · 0 maps
InfernoBebop ban
33%50%
Bebop · 5 mapsedge WBT Academy +17%WBT Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBebop remove Inferno
2. BanWBT Academy remove Cache
3. PickBebop take Dust2
4. PickWBT Academy take Anubis
5. BanWBT Academy remove Nuke
6. BanBebop remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (44% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct6:13
Bebop 31%WBT Academy 69%
The model gave 69% on WBT Academy — the map was taken by WBT Academy.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
Bebop 44%WBT Academy 56%
The model gave 56% on WBT Academy — the map was taken by WBT Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteWBT Academy · 69%
Series resultWBT Academy 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2