BetBoom RUSH B Summit Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#51 in the world · win 2:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ShindeN#77 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoImperial pick
75%70%
Imperial · 12 mapsedge Imperial +5%ShindeN · 6 maps
MirageImperial ban
56%56%
Imperial · 12 mapsnearly even +0%ShindeN · 5 maps
Dust2possible decider
60%50%
Imperial · 11 mapsedge Imperial +10%ShindeN · 4 maps
NukeShindeN ban
60%42%
Imperial · 6 mapsedge Imperial +18%ShindeN · 8 maps
AncientImperial ban
50%60%
Imperial · 0 mapsedge ShindeN +10%ShindeN · 6 maps
AnubisShindeN ban
60%50%
Imperial · 6 mapsedge Imperial +10%ShindeN · 0 maps
OverpassShindeN pick
50%75%
Imperial · 2 mapsedge ShindeN +25%ShindeN · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Ancient
2. BanShindeN remove Anubis
3. PickImperial take Inferno
4. PickShindeN take Overpass
5. BanShindeN remove Nuke
6. BanImperial remove Mirage
DeciderDust2 (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct19:16
Imperial 53%ShindeN 47%
The model gave 53% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Infernoprediction correct13:10
Imperial 53%ShindeN 47%
The model gave 53% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteShindeN · 54%
Series resultImperial 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2