Intel EPIC48 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientAimerLegion ban
60%50%
Voracity · 1 mapedge Voracity +10%AimerLegion · 0 maps
Dust2Voracity pick
40%50%
Voracity · 1 mapedge AimerLegion +10%AimerLegion · 0 maps
NukeVoracity ban
40%50%
Voracity · 1 mapedge AimerLegion +10%AimerLegion · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVoracity remove Nuke
2. BanAimerLegion remove Ancient
3. PickVoracity take Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:6
Voracity 47%AimerLegion 53%
The model gave 53% on AimerLegion — the map was taken by Voracity.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
Voracity 43%AimerLegion 57%
The model gave 57% on AimerLegion — the map was taken by Voracity.
Model check result
Model favoriteAimerLegion · 50%
Series resultVoracity 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2