WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
INOX Division#66 in the world · win 2:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
58%53%
INOX Division · 20 mapsedge INOX Division +5%ex-RUBY · 13 maps
Dust2INOX Division ban
54%50%
INOX Division · 20 mapsnearly even +4%ex-RUBY · 12 maps
NukeINOX Division pick
68%50%
INOX Division · 21 mapedge INOX Division +18%ex-RUBY · 10 maps
Infernoex-RUBY ban
63%50%
INOX Division · 28 mapsedge INOX Division +13%ex-RUBY · 0 maps
Cacheex-RUBY pick
44%46%
INOX Division · 12 mapsnearly even -2%ex-RUBY · 9 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
50%76%
INOX Division · 0 mapsedge ex-RUBY +26%ex-RUBY · 17 maps
Anubisex-RUBY ban
64%60%
INOX Division · 7 mapsnearly even +4%ex-RUBY · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
2. Banex-RUBY remove Inferno
3. PickINOX Division take Nuke
4. Pickex-RUBY take Cache
5. Banex-RUBY remove Anubis
6. BanINOX Division remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (58% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed14:16
INOX Division 57%ex-RUBY 43%
The model gave 57% on INOX Division — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Nukeprediction correct13:9
INOX Division 65%ex-RUBY 35%
The model gave 65% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
INOX Division 55%ex-RUBY 45%
The model gave 55% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 55%
Series resultINOX Division 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3