WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
FORZE Reload#70 in the world · win 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
INOX Division#66 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
62%52%
FORZE Reload · 9 mapsedge FORZE Reload +10%INOX Division · 21 map
NukeFORZE Reload pick
67%69%
FORZE Reload · 8 mapsnearly even -2%INOX Division · 22 maps
InfernoFORZE Reload ban
50%63%
FORZE Reload · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +13%INOX Division · 28 maps
AncientFORZE Reload ban
57%60%
FORZE Reload · 3 mapsnearly even -3%INOX Division · 21 map
CacheINOX Division ban
60%44%
FORZE Reload · 6 mapsedge FORZE Reload +16%INOX Division · 12 maps
AnubisINOX Division pick
50%64%
FORZE Reload · 4 mapsedge INOX Division +14%INOX Division · 7 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
50%50%
FORZE Reload · 8 mapsnearly even +0%INOX Division · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFORZE Reload remove Inferno
2. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
3. PickFORZE Reload take Nuke
4. PickINOX Division take Anubis
5. BanINOX Division remove Cache
6. BanFORZE Reload remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (62% / 52%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:4
FORZE Reload 68%INOX Division 32%
The model gave 68% on FORZE Reload — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Ancientprediction missed13:9
FORZE Reload 44%INOX Division 56%
The model gave 56% on INOX Division — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Model check result
Model favoriteFORZE Reload · 52%
Series resultFORZE Reload 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2