WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
CYBERSHOKE#90 in the world · win 1:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientCYBERSHOKE pick
47%50%
CYBERSHOKE · 13 mapsnearly even -3%DOORDOM · 0 maps
Dust2possible decider
53%50%
CYBERSHOKE · 13 mapsnearly even +3%DOORDOM · 0 maps
MirageDOORDOM ban
67%50%
CYBERSHOKE · 8 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +17%DOORDOM · 0 maps
NukeCYBERSHOKE ban
55%50%
CYBERSHOKE · 7 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +5%DOORDOM · 0 maps
AnubisCYBERSHOKE ban
43%50%
CYBERSHOKE · 3 mapsedge DOORDOM +7%DOORDOM · 0 maps
CacheDOORDOM pick
50%50%
CYBERSHOKE · 2 mapsnearly even +0%DOORDOM · 0 maps
OverpassDOORDOM ban
67%50%
CYBERSHOKE · 2 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +17%DOORDOM · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Anubis
2. BanDOORDOM remove Overpass
3. PickCYBERSHOKE take Ancient
4. PickDOORDOM take Cache
5. BanDOORDOM remove Mirage
6. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (53% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
CYBERSHOKE 53%DOORDOM 47%
The model gave 53% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE.
Model check result
Model favoriteCYBERSHOKE · 72%
Series resultCYBERSHOKE 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1