WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
BET-M#65 in the world · win 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBET-M pick
53%40%
BET-M · 13 mapsedge BET-M +13%HyperSpace · 1 map
Dust2HyperSpace pick
38%50%
BET-M · 12 mapsedge HyperSpace +12%HyperSpace · 0 maps
InfernoHyperSpace ban
56%50%
BET-M · 12 mapsedge BET-M +6%HyperSpace · 0 maps
AncientBET-M ban
14%50%
BET-M · 10 mapsedge HyperSpace +36%HyperSpace · 0 maps
MirageBET-M ban
50%40%
BET-M · 8 mapsedge BET-M +10%HyperSpace · 1 map
AnubisHyperSpace ban
60%50%
BET-M · 6 mapsedge BET-M +10%HyperSpace · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBET-M remove Ancient
2. BanHyperSpace remove Inferno
3. PickBET-M take Nuke
4. PickHyperSpace take Dust2
5. BanHyperSpace remove Anubis
6. BanBET-M remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:4
BET-M 57%HyperSpace 43%
The model gave 57% on BET-M — the map was taken by BET-M.
Dust2prediction missed13:5
BET-M 40%HyperSpace 60%
The model gave 60% on HyperSpace — the map was taken by BET-M.
Model check result
Model favoriteBET-M · 74%
Series resultBET-M 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2