HyperX Retake Season 12 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Giant Pandas pick
29%43%
REVENIX · 3 mapsedge Giant Pandas +14%Giant Pandas · 3 maps
AncientGiant Pandas ban
29%33%
REVENIX · 3 mapsnearly even -4%Giant Pandas · 2 maps
AnubisGiant Pandas ban
33%50%
REVENIX · 2 mapsedge Giant Pandas +17%Giant Pandas · 0 maps
MirageREVENIX ban
40%60%
REVENIX · 1 mapedge Giant Pandas +20%Giant Pandas · 1 map
NukeREVENIX ban
40%40%
REVENIX · 1 mapnearly even +0%Giant Pandas · 1 map
DefaultREVENIX pick
50%40%
REVENIX · 0 mapsedge REVENIX +10%Giant Pandas · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanREVENIX remove Nuke
2. BanGiant Pandas remove Anubis
3. PickREVENIX take Default
4. PickGiant Pandas take Dust2
5. BanGiant Pandas remove Ancient
6. BanREVENIX remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct9:13
REVENIX 47%Giant Pandas 53%
The model gave 53% on Giant Pandas — the map was taken by Giant Pandas.
Nukeprediction missed16:14
REVENIX 47%Giant Pandas 53%
The model gave 53% on Giant Pandas — the map was taken by REVENIX.
Anubisprediction missed16:12
REVENIX 33%Giant Pandas 67%
The model gave 67% on Giant Pandas — the map was taken by REVENIX.
Model check result
Model favoriteREVENIX · 53%
Series resultREVENIX 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3