HyperX Retake Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
SAW Youngsters#143 in the world · win 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoREVENIX ban
68%50%
SAW Youngsters · 18 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +18%REVENIX · 0 maps
Dust2REVENIX ban
39%29%
SAW Youngsters · 14 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +10%REVENIX · 3 maps
MirageSAW Youngsters ban
37%40%
SAW Youngsters · 15 mapsnearly even -3%REVENIX · 1 map
Ancientpossible decider
46%25%
SAW Youngsters · 9 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +21%REVENIX · 4 maps
AnubisSAW Youngsters pick
58%43%
SAW Youngsters · 8 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +15%REVENIX · 3 maps
NukeSAW Youngsters ban
40%50%
SAW Youngsters · 6 mapsedge REVENIX +10%REVENIX · 2 maps
DefaultREVENIX pick
50%50%
SAW Youngsters · 2 mapsnearly even +0%REVENIX · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSAW Youngsters remove Nuke
2. BanREVENIX remove Inferno
3. PickSAW Youngsters take Anubis
4. PickREVENIX take Default
5. BanREVENIX remove Dust2
6. BanSAW Youngsters remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (46% / 25%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct16:13
SAW Youngsters 64%REVENIX 36%
The model gave 64% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Ancientprediction correct13:11
SAW Youngsters 70%REVENIX 30%
The model gave 70% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Model check result
Model favoriteSAW Youngsters · 63%
Series resultSAW Youngsters 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2