HyperX Retake Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BERG#192 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBERG pick
60%53%
GenOne · 21 mapedge GenOne +7%BERG · 13 maps
Dust2BERG ban
61%50%
GenOne · 32 mapsedge GenOne +11%BERG · 2 maps
Nukepossible decider
41%31%
GenOne · 13 mapsedge GenOne +10%BERG · 12 maps
InfernoGenOne ban
50%50%
GenOne · 16 mapsnearly even +0%BERG · 6 maps
AnubisGenOne pick
85%38%
GenOne · 9 mapsedge GenOne +47%BERG · 4 maps
MirageGenOne ban
50%38%
GenOne · 0 mapsedge GenOne +12%BERG · 9 maps
CacheBERG ban
40%60%
GenOne · 6 mapsedge BERG +20%BERG · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Mirage
2. BanBERG remove Dust2
3. PickGenOne take Anubis
4. PickBERG take Ancient
5. BanBERG remove Cache
6. BanGenOne remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (41% / 31%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:5
GenOne 47%BERG 53%
The model gave 53% on BERG — the map was taken by GenOne.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
GenOne 64%BERG 36%
The model gave 64% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 78%
Series resultGenOne 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2