HyperX Retake Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · win 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GenOne#95 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
57%62%
Eternal Fire · 10 mapsedge GenOne +5%GenOne · 33 maps
AncientEternal Fire pick
59%60%
Eternal Fire · 13 mapsnearly even -1%GenOne · 21 map
Infernopossible decider
54%52%
Eternal Fire · 9 mapsnearly even +2%GenOne · 17 maps
CacheGenOne ban
50%40%
Eternal Fire · 10 mapsedge Eternal Fire +10%GenOne · 6 maps
NukeEternal Fire ban
33%41%
Eternal Fire · 2 mapsedge GenOne +8%GenOne · 13 maps
AnubisEternal Fire ban
57%85%
Eternal Fire · 3 mapsedge GenOne +28%GenOne · 9 maps
MirageGenOne ban
56%50%
Eternal Fire · 12 mapsedge Eternal Fire +6%GenOne · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEternal Fire remove Nuke
2. BanGenOne remove Mirage
3. PickEternal Fire take Ancient
4. PickGenOne take Dust2
5. BanGenOne remove Cache
6. BanEternal Fire remove Anubis
DeciderInferno (54% / 52%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:9
Eternal Fire 63%GenOne 37%
The model gave 63% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Dust2prediction missed13:2
Eternal Fire 42%GenOne 58%
The model gave 58% on GenOne — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Model check result
Model favoriteEternal Fire · 52%
Series resultEternal Fire 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2