CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:1
OlyBet#225 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-MANA pick
45%45%
ex-MANA · 7 mapsnearly even +0%OlyBet · 7 maps
NukeOlyBet ban
60%40%
ex-MANA · 1 mapedge ex-MANA +20%OlyBet · 6 maps
AncientOlyBet pick
38%67%
ex-MANA · 4 mapsedge OlyBet +29%OlyBet · 2 maps
AnubisOlyBet ban
33%33%
ex-MANA · 2 mapsnearly even +0%OlyBet · 2 maps
Miragepossible decider
60%57%
ex-MANA · 1 mapnearly even +3%OlyBet · 3 maps
Infernoex-MANA ban
50%43%
ex-MANA · 0 mapsedge ex-MANA +7%OlyBet · 3 maps
Defaultex-MANA ban
40%40%
ex-MANA · 1 mapnearly even +0%OlyBet · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-MANA remove Inferno
2. BanOlyBet remove Anubis
3. Pickex-MANA take Dust2
4. PickOlyBet take Ancient
5. BanOlyBet remove Nuke
6. Banex-MANA remove Default
DeciderMirage (60% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:3
ex-MANA 56%OlyBet 44%
The model gave 56% on ex-MANA — the map was taken by ex-MANA.
Nukeprediction missed14:16
ex-MANA 67%OlyBet 33%
The model gave 67% on ex-MANA — the map was taken by OlyBet.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
ex-MANA 50%OlyBet 50%
The model gave 50% on ex-MANA — the map was taken by ex-MANA.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-MANA · 54%
Series resultex-MANA 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3