CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
DONSTU#221 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisDONSTU pick
43%52%
Bebop · 3 mapsedge DONSTU +9%DONSTU · 17 maps
Dust2Bebop pick
82%35%
Bebop · 7 mapsedge Bebop +47%DONSTU · 13 maps
InfernoDONSTU ban
63%43%
Bebop · 4 mapsedge Bebop +20%DONSTU · 10 maps
AncientBebop ban
29%38%
Bebop · 3 mapsedge DONSTU +9%DONSTU · 9 maps
MirageDONSTU ban
56%50%
Bebop · 12 mapsedge Bebop +6%DONSTU · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
33%60%
Bebop · 8 mapsedge DONSTU +27%DONSTU · 1 map
NukeBebop ban
20%43%
Bebop · 6 mapsedge DONSTU +23%DONSTU · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBebop remove Ancient
2. BanDONSTU remove Mirage
3. PickBebop take Dust2
4. PickDONSTU take Anubis
5. BanDONSTU remove Inferno
6. BanBebop remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (33% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct11:13
Bebop 38%DONSTU 62%
The model gave 62% on DONSTU — the map was taken by DONSTU.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
Bebop 90%DONSTU 10%
The model gave 90% on Bebop — the map was taken by Bebop.
Nukeprediction missed13:7
Bebop 25%DONSTU 75%
The model gave 75% on DONSTU — the map was taken by Bebop.
Model check result
Model favoriteDONSTU · 51%
Series resultBebop 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3