TipiLAN 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
GENESIS#169 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
chromeheadswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2chromeheads pick
40%60%
GENESIS · 1 mapedge chromeheads +20%chromeheads · 1 map
AncientGENESIS pick
60%50%
GENESIS · 1 mapedge GENESIS +10%chromeheads · 0 maps
Anubischromeheads ban
60%50%
GENESIS · 1 mapedge GENESIS +10%chromeheads · 0 maps
MirageGENESIS ban
50%60%
GENESIS · 0 mapsedge chromeheads +10%chromeheads · 1 map
Nukechromeheads ban
50%60%
GENESIS · 0 mapsedge chromeheads +10%chromeheads · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGENESIS remove Mirage
2. Banchromeheads remove Anubis
3. PickGENESIS take Ancient
4. Pickchromeheads take Dust2
5. Banchromeheads remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct9:13
GENESIS 37%chromeheads 63%
The model gave 63% on chromeheads — the map was taken by chromeheads.
Cacheprediction correct13:8
GENESIS 53%chromeheads 47%
The model gave 53% on GENESIS — the map was taken by GENESIS.
Ancientprediction missed4:13
GENESIS 60%chromeheads 40%
The model gave 60% on GENESIS — the map was taken by chromeheads.
Model check result
Model favoriteGENESIS · 50%
Series resultchromeheads 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3