GLuck Yungstar 2026 Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2PsychoFace pick
50%52%
Spirit Academy · 2 mapsnearly even -2%PsychoFace · 19 maps
MirageSpirit Academy ban
40%44%
Spirit Academy · 1 mapnearly even -4%PsychoFace · 12 maps
NukeSpirit Academy pick
50%36%
Spirit Academy · 2 mapsedge Spirit Academy +14%PsychoFace · 10 maps
Overpasspossible decider
60%67%
Spirit Academy · 1 mapedge PsychoFace +7%PsychoFace · 8 maps
AnubisPsychoFace ban
60%50%
Spirit Academy · 1 mapedge Spirit Academy +10%PsychoFace · 6 maps
AncientPsychoFace ban
50%25%
Spirit Academy · 0 mapsedge Spirit Academy +25%PsychoFace · 4 maps
DefaultSpirit Academy ban
50%50%
Spirit Academy · 0 mapsnearly even +0%PsychoFace · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
2. BanPsychoFace remove Ancient
3. PickSpirit Academy take Nuke
4. PickPsychoFace take Dust2
5. BanPsychoFace remove Anubis
6. BanSpirit Academy remove Default
DeciderOverpass (60% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed3:13
Spirit Academy 67%PsychoFace 33%
The model gave 67% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by PsychoFace.
Cacheprediction missed13:9
Spirit Academy 47%PsychoFace 53%
The model gave 53% on PsychoFace — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Dust2prediction correct0:13
Spirit Academy 48%PsychoFace 52%
The model gave 52% on PsychoFace — the map was taken by PsychoFace.
Model check result
Model favoritePsychoFace · 56%
Series resultPsychoFace 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3