GLuck Yungstar 2026 Series 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Wingman pick
67%63%
Wingman · 5 mapsnearly even +4%ex-RUBY · 26 maps
Nukeex-RUBY pick
67%73%
Wingman · 2 mapsedge ex-RUBY +6%ex-RUBY · 22 maps
Mirageex-RUBY ban
50%52%
Wingman · 2 mapsnearly even -2%ex-RUBY · 19 maps
Ancientex-RUBY ban
43%40%
Wingman · 3 mapsnearly even +3%ex-RUBY · 16 maps
OverpassWingman ban
50%59%
Wingman · 2 mapsedge ex-RUBY +9%ex-RUBY · 13 maps
AnubisWingman ban
50%60%
Wingman · 0 mapsedge ex-RUBY +10%ex-RUBY · 1 map
Cachepossible decider
50%60%
Wingman · 0 mapsedge ex-RUBY +10%ex-RUBY · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWingman remove Anubis
2. Banex-RUBY remove Ancient
3. PickWingman take Dust2
4. Pickex-RUBY take Nuke
5. Banex-RUBY remove Mirage
6. BanWingman remove Overpass
DeciderCache (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct16:14
Wingman 57%ex-RUBY 43%
The model gave 57% on Wingman — the map was taken by Wingman.
Mirageprediction correct14:16
Wingman 45%ex-RUBY 55%
The model gave 55% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Ancientprediction missed12:16
Wingman 53%ex-RUBY 47%
The model gave 53% on Wingman — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUBY · 69%
Series resultex-RUBY 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3