Exort Fiesta Series 1 · BO3
live · recalculated in real time
Honvéd#124 in the worldseries probability now
100%0%
was 42% pre-match
In live mode the model factors in the current map and round score, team winrate on the maps being played and form. The probability is recalculated as the match unfolds.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Revise ban
55%57%
Honvéd · 29 mapsnearly even -2%Revise · 3 maps
MirageHonvéd pick
52%63%
Honvéd · 25 mapsedge Revise +11%Revise · 4 maps
AncientHonvéd ban
50%57%
Honvéd · 14 mapsedge Revise +7%Revise · 3 maps
CacheRevise ban
50%33%
Honvéd · 6 mapsedge Honvéd +17%Revise · 2 maps
InfernoRevise pick
33%50%
Honvéd · 8 mapsedge Revise +17%Revise · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
70%60%
Honvéd · 6 mapsedge Honvéd +10%Revise · 1 map
AnubisHonvéd ban
44%60%
Honvéd · 5 mapsedge Revise +16%Revise · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHonvéd remove Anubis
2. BanRevise remove Cache
3. PickHonvéd take Mirage
4. PickRevise take Inferno
5. BanRevise remove Dust2
6. BanHonvéd remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (70% / 60%)
Probability by map
For each map in the series — win chance factoring in the round score and historical map winrate over 3 months. Played maps are locked, the current one is recalculated by the score.
Dust2finished · Honvéd pick13:4
Honvéd won — 100%
Miragefinished · Revise pick18:18
Honvéd won — 100%
Ancientnot played · decider— : —
Honvéd 43%Revise 57%
Historical winrate over 3 months: Honvéd 50% (14 maps) vs 57% (3 maps) for Revise.