CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Honvéd#144 in the world · win 1:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Subtop De France ban
65%30%
Honvéd · 13 mapsedge Honvéd +35%Subtop De France · 6 maps
MirageSubtop De France ban
56%50%
Honvéd · 14 mapsedge Honvéd +6%Subtop De France · 0 maps
AncientHonvéd pick
64%25%
Honvéd · 7 mapsedge Honvéd +39%Subtop De France · 4 maps
InfernoHonvéd ban
29%44%
Honvéd · 3 mapsedge Subtop De France +15%Subtop De France · 5 maps
NukeHonvéd ban
57%50%
Honvéd · 3 mapsedge Honvéd +7%Subtop De France · 2 maps
AnubisSubtop De France pick
67%60%
Honvéd · 2 mapsedge Honvéd +7%Subtop De France · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
40%50%
Honvéd · 1 mapedge Subtop De France +10%Subtop De France · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHonvéd remove Inferno
2. BanSubtop De France remove Mirage
3. PickHonvéd take Ancient
4. PickSubtop De France take Anubis
5. BanSubtop De France remove Dust2
6. BanHonvéd remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
Honvéd 40%Subtop De France 60%
The model gave 60% on Subtop De France — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Model check result
Model favoriteHonvéd · 75%
Series resultHonvéd 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1