CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
SAW Youngsters#143 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultMai Tai ban
38%40%
Mai Tai · 4 mapsnearly even -2%SAW Youngsters · 1 map
MirageMai Tai pick
50%43%
Mai Tai · 2 mapsedge Mai Tai +7%SAW Youngsters · 3 maps
InfernoMai Tai ban
50%75%
Mai Tai · 0 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +25%SAW Youngsters · 4 maps
Ancientpossible decider
60%60%
Mai Tai · 1 mapnearly even +0%SAW Youngsters · 1 map
AnubisSAW Youngsters pick
50%60%
Mai Tai · 0 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +10%SAW Youngsters · 1 map
CacheSAW Youngsters ban
40%50%
Mai Tai · 1 mapedge SAW Youngsters +10%SAW Youngsters · 0 maps
NukeSAW Youngsters ban
50%40%
Mai Tai · 0 mapsedge Mai Tai +10%SAW Youngsters · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMai Tai remove Inferno
2. BanSAW Youngsters remove Cache
3. PickMai Tai take Mirage
4. PickSAW Youngsters take Anubis
5. BanSAW Youngsters remove Nuke
6. BanMai Tai remove Default
DeciderAncient (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
Mai Tai 47%SAW Youngsters 53%
The model gave 53% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Mirageprediction missed9:13
Mai Tai 60%SAW Youngsters 40%
The model gave 60% on Mai Tai — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Model check result
Model favoriteSAW Youngsters · 50%
Series resultSAW Youngsters 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2