CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BORRACHEIROS ban
50%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 0 mapsnearly even +0%ex-KRÜ · 6 maps
Nukeex-KRÜ pick
40%67%
BORRACHEIROS · 1 mapedge ex-KRÜ +27%ex-KRÜ · 5 maps
Ancientex-KRÜ ban
60%43%
BORRACHEIROS · 1 mapedge BORRACHEIROS +17%ex-KRÜ · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%25%
BORRACHEIROS · 0 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +25%ex-KRÜ · 4 maps
InfernoBORRACHEIROS pick
40%29%
BORRACHEIROS · 1 mapedge BORRACHEIROS +11%ex-KRÜ · 3 maps
MirageBORRACHEIROS ban
50%43%
BORRACHEIROS · 0 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +7%ex-KRÜ · 3 maps
Overpassex-KRÜ ban
50%40%
BORRACHEIROS · 0 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +10%ex-KRÜ · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Dust2
2. Banex-KRÜ remove Ancient
3. PickBORRACHEIROS take Inferno
4. Pickex-KRÜ take Nuke
5. Banex-KRÜ remove Overpass
6. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (50% / 25%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
BORRACHEIROS 75%ex-KRÜ 25%
The model gave 75% on BORRACHEIROS — the map was taken by BORRACHEIROS.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-KRÜ · 59%
Series resultBORRACHEIROS 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1