CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circle Academy#80 in the world · win 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Inner Circle Academy pick
57%33%
Inner Circle Academy · 10 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +24%Subtop De France · 5 maps
AncientSubtop De France ban
55%29%
Inner Circle Academy · 7 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +26%Subtop De France · 3 maps
Nukepossible decider
45%50%
Inner Circle Academy · 7 mapsedge Subtop De France +5%Subtop De France · 2 maps
InfernoInner Circle Academy ban
40%44%
Inner Circle Academy · 1 mapnearly even -4%Subtop De France · 5 maps
AnubisSubtop De France pick
71%60%
Inner Circle Academy · 3 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +11%Subtop De France · 1 map
MirageSubtop De France ban
57%50%
Inner Circle Academy · 3 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +7%Subtop De France · 0 maps
CacheInner Circle Academy ban
50%50%
Inner Circle Academy · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Subtop De France · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanInner Circle Academy remove Inferno
2. BanSubtop De France remove Mirage
3. PickInner Circle Academy take Dust2
4. PickSubtop De France take Anubis
5. BanSubtop De France remove Ancient
6. BanInner Circle Academy remove Cache
DeciderNuke (45% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
Inner Circle Academy 77%Subtop De France 23%
The model gave 77% on Inner Circle Academy — the map was taken by Inner Circle Academy.
Dust2prediction correct13:3
Inner Circle Academy 70%Subtop De France 30%
The model gave 70% on Inner Circle Academy — the map was taken by Inner Circle Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle Academy · 60%
Series resultInner Circle Academy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2