European Pro League Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
The Last Resort#159 in the world · win 2:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Enjoy#199 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientThe Last Resort pick
60%55%
The Last Resort · 11 mapsedge The Last Resort +5%Enjoy · 7 maps
NukeEnjoy ban
41%50%
The Last Resort · 13 mapsedge Enjoy +9%Enjoy · 2 maps
Overpasspossible decider
64%50%
The Last Resort · 10 mapsedge The Last Resort +14%Enjoy · 2 maps
MirageEnjoy pick
27%71%
The Last Resort · 7 mapsedge Enjoy +44%Enjoy · 3 maps
AnubisEnjoy ban
63%63%
The Last Resort · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Enjoy · 4 maps
Dust2The Last Resort ban
33%63%
The Last Resort · 2 mapsedge Enjoy +30%Enjoy · 4 maps
CacheThe Last Resort ban
43%50%
The Last Resort · 3 mapsedge Enjoy +7%Enjoy · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanThe Last Resort remove Dust2
2. BanEnjoy remove Nuke
3. PickThe Last Resort take Ancient
4. PickEnjoy take Mirage
5. BanEnjoy remove Anubis
6. BanThe Last Resort remove Cache
DeciderOverpass (64% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:5
The Last Resort 21%Enjoy 79%
The model gave 79% on Enjoy — the map was taken by The Last Resort.
Nukeprediction missed13:4
The Last Resort 44%Enjoy 56%
The model gave 56% on Enjoy — the map was taken by The Last Resort.
Model check result
Model favoriteEnjoy · 55%
Series resultThe Last Resort 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2