NODWIN Clutch Series 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
BET-M#62 in the world · win 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HYPERSPIRIT#147 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2HYPERSPIRIT pick
38%56%
BET-M · 9 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +18%HYPERSPIRIT · 12 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%50%
BET-M · 8 mapsnearly even +0%HYPERSPIRIT · 6 maps
MirageBET-M ban
55%55%
BET-M · 7 mapsnearly even +0%HYPERSPIRIT · 7 maps
AncientBET-M ban
30%50%
BET-M · 6 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +20%HYPERSPIRIT · 4 maps
NukeHYPERSPIRIT ban
54%50%
BET-M · 9 mapsnearly even +4%HYPERSPIRIT · 0 maps
AnubisHYPERSPIRIT ban
57%44%
BET-M · 3 mapsedge BET-M +13%HYPERSPIRIT · 5 maps
DefaultBET-M pick
50%63%
BET-M · 0 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +13%HYPERSPIRIT · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBET-M remove Ancient
2. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Nuke
3. PickBET-M take Default
4. PickHYPERSPIRIT take Dust2
5. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Anubis
6. BanBET-M remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:7
BET-M 60%HYPERSPIRIT 40%
The model gave 60% on BET-M — the map was taken by BET-M.
Infernoprediction correct13:4
BET-M 53%HYPERSPIRIT 47%
The model gave 53% on BET-M — the map was taken by BET-M.
Model check result
Model favoriteHYPERSPIRIT · 52%
Series resultBET-M 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2