CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vasco#232 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:1
MAGICOSwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultVasco ban
21%50%
Vasco · 10 mapsedge MAGICOS +29%MAGICOS · 2 maps
Dust2possible decider
40%50%
Vasco · 6 mapsedge MAGICOS +10%MAGICOS · 2 maps
InfernoVasco pick
50%33%
Vasco · 6 mapsedge Vasco +17%MAGICOS · 2 maps
MirageMAGICOS ban
44%60%
Vasco · 5 mapsedge MAGICOS +16%MAGICOS · 1 map
AncientMAGICOS ban
67%33%
Vasco · 2 mapsedge Vasco +34%MAGICOS · 2 maps
AnubisMAGICOS pick
40%50%
Vasco · 1 mapedge MAGICOS +10%MAGICOS · 0 maps
OverpassVasco ban
40%50%
Vasco · 1 mapedge MAGICOS +10%MAGICOS · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVasco remove Overpass
2. BanMAGICOS remove Ancient
3. PickVasco take Inferno
4. PickMAGICOS take Anubis
5. BanMAGICOS remove Mirage
6. BanVasco remove Default
DeciderDust2 (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Vasco 21%MAGICOS 79%
The model gave 79% on MAGICOS — the map was taken by MAGICOS.
Model check result
Model favoriteVasco · 53%
Series resultMAGICOS 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1