Exort Fiesta Series 1 · BO3
pre-match predictionseries probability
42%58%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Vexar#138 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
43%54%
Lavked · 26 mapsedge Vexar +11%Vexar · 9 maps
AncientVexar pick
47%48%
Lavked · 11 mapsnearly even -1%Vexar · 17 maps
NukeVexar ban
38%42%
Lavked · 12 mapsnearly even -4%Vexar · 8 maps
Dust2Lavked ban
50%63%
Lavked · 14 mapsedge Vexar +13%Vexar · 4 maps
AnubisVexar ban
64%38%
Lavked · 10 mapsedge Lavked +26%Vexar · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
43%55%
Lavked · 3 mapsedge Vexar +12%Vexar · 7 maps
InfernoLavked ban
43%60%
Lavked · 3 mapsedge Vexar +17%Vexar · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Inferno
2. BanVexar remove Anubis
3. PickLavked take Mirage
4. PickVexar take Ancient
5. BanVexar remove Nuke
6. BanLavked remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (43% / 55%)