Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA#65 in the world · win 2:0series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Keyd Stars#155 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BESTIA pick
70%56%
BESTIA · 6 mapsedge BESTIA +14%Keyd Stars · 14 maps
AncientKeyd Stars pick
50%56%
BESTIA · 2 mapsedge Keyd Stars +6%Keyd Stars · 14 maps
NukeBESTIA ban
50%40%
BESTIA · 4 mapsedge BESTIA +10%Keyd Stars · 11 maps
Miragepossible decider
71%57%
BESTIA · 3 mapsedge BESTIA +14%Keyd Stars · 10 maps
AnubisBESTIA ban
50%67%
BESTIA · 0 mapsedge Keyd Stars +17%Keyd Stars · 5 maps
CacheKeyd Stars ban
50%40%
BESTIA · 2 mapsedge BESTIA +10%Keyd Stars · 1 map
InfernoKeyd Stars ban
50%40%
BESTIA · 2 mapsedge BESTIA +10%Keyd Stars · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA remove Anubis
2. BanKeyd Stars remove Inferno
3. PickBESTIA take Dust2
4. PickKeyd Stars take Ancient
5. BanKeyd Stars remove Cache
6. BanBESTIA remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (71% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:11
BESTIA 42%Keyd Stars 58%
The model gave 58% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
BESTIA 68%Keyd Stars 32%
The model gave 68% on BESTIA — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA · 68%
Series resultBESTIA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2